Environmental conditions in favour of a hantavirus outbreak in 2015 in Germany?
Bank voles can harbour Puumala virus (PUUV) and vole populations usually peak in years after beech mast. A beech mast occurred in 2014 and a predictive model indicates high vole abundance in 2015. This pattern is similar to the years 2009/2011 when beech mast occurred, bank voles multiplied and human PUUV infections increased a year later. Given similar environmental conditions in 2014/2015, increased risk of human PUUV infections in 2015 is likely. Risk management measures are recommended.
['Reil|D|D|', 'Imholt|C|C|', 'Drewes|S|S|', 'Ulrich|R G|RG|', 'Eccard|J A|JA|', 'Jacob|J|J|']
D000818:Animals D003411:Arvicolinae D003710:Demography D004196:Disease Outbreaks D017753:Ecosystem D029964:Fagus D005858:Germany D006476:Hantavirus D018778:Hantavirus Infections D006480:Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome D006801:Humans D029262:Puumala virus D012307:Risk Factors D014887:Weather
outbreak Germany bank vole Puumala virus Beech fructification nephropathia epidemica