Smokers' behavioral intentions in response to a low-nicotine cigarette policy.
INTRODUCTION
Evidence suggests that reducing the nicotine concentration in cigarettes to sub-addictive levels would reduce use. Until a low-nicotine cigarette policy is enacted, population-level effects are unknown. This study examines the behavioral intentions of current U.S. cigarette smokers if a low-nicotine policy were implemented.


METHODS
Data were drawn from a nationally representative probability-based panel and opt-in panel. Weighted logistic regressions examined likelihood to (1) smoke lower nicotine cigarettes, (2) quit using tobacco, (3) use e-cigarettes, (4) illegally buy high-nicotine cigarettes, and (5) smoke cigars, cigarillos, or little cigars (CLCCs) among smokers, controlling for demographics, tobacco products used, dependence, and intentions to quit cigarettes. Latent class analyses (LCA) characterized patterns of behavioral intentions.


RESULTS
If a low-nicotine policy were implemented, most participants indicated a likelihood to smoke low-nicotine cigarettes (78.4%) or quit tobacco (61.9%), followed by use e-cigarettes (46.5%). Individuals with greater dependence had greater odds of intending to smoke low-nicotine cigarettes, use e-cigarettes, and illegally buy high-nicotine cigarettes. Current e-cigarette or CLCCs users had higher odds of intending to use these products. LCA revealed that individuals would 1) use low-nicotine cigarettes with low intentions to use other tobacco products or 2) use multiple tobacco products, including low-nicotine cigarettes.


CONCLUSIONS
A reduced nicotine standard for all combustible tobacco products is needed given that many tobacco users would likely intend to continue to use tobacco products. Differences in intentions by tobacco use and demographic characteristics indicate a need for additional cessation support and education around the harms of continued use of combustible tobacco.
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D000328:Adult D003258:Consumer Behavior D066300:Electronic Nicotine Delivery Systems D005260:Female D006801:Humans D033182:Intention D008297:Male D008875:Middle Aged D009538:Nicotine D057766:Policy D000074285:Smokers D012907:Smoking D016540:Smoking Cessation D062789:Tobacco Products D055815:Young Adult
Behavioral intentions Low-nicotine cigarettes Policy Tobacco use